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OPS: Begone! Part 2
May 27, 2003 - Jason Belter
Well I've thought about it and my guess is that what your seeing is that maybe the correct break even point is tied to percent of OPS determined by batting average. As batting average increases most of your offense becomes singles conversely for a fixed OPS a decrease in batting average shifts it to a walk/HR dominated offense. Introducing a single into that type of offense is hardly going to be marginally better than getting a walk. Since the advancing a runner isn't going to mean much if he only scores on HRs anyway. On the other end in an offense consisting only of base hits a walk will be much less valuable since in most cases it won't have advanced a runner who was on say 3rd base following two singles and the like. Maybe that makes more sense when the offense is singles and doubles.
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